Nebius Group
NASDAQ:NBISStructural picks-and-shovel position in the AI Semis supply chain, Layer 1. Tier C conviction with research from AI Master Research.
The full 1-page snapshot on Nebius Group.
What it physically does · the financial print · customer mix · competitive context · terminal risk · bull case · gap/bear case · optionality · the trade. ~391 words. Source: AI Master Research.
What NBIS physically does — preview.
One-paragraph version of the Photoncap deep dive. Read the full essay for the complete treatment.
The thesis — preview.
The best print in the entire scaling-cloud cohort — $399M revenue (+684% YoY), 45% EBITDA margin, $27B Meta contract + $2B NVDA equity stake. Tier B not Tier A because the stock is +50% in a single month and capex is being raised to $20-25B, which materially raises balance-sheet risk even on a Meta-anchored book. Nebius is the European answer to CoreWeave — formerly Yandex's cloud unit, now a standalone NASDAQ-listed AI cloud with anchor sites in Finland, Israel, France, and now a 1.2 GW Pennsylvania mega-site announced May 12. NVDA's reference architecture, Meta's $27B 5-year contract, and $2B in fresh NVDA equity — the model is GPU-as-a-service with secular take-or-pay structure.…