Theme · AI Semis Layer 5 Bucket C · Tier C Conviction · MEDIUM

Coherent Corp.

NYSE:COHR

Structural picks-and-shovel position in the AI Semis supply chain, Layer 5. Tier C conviction with research from AI Master Research.

Today's technical signal Scan · 24 May · NYSE
Hold
RSI 1459.7
MACD Hist-1.22
Vol Ratio
2×ATR Stop
EMA Cloud
$377.57 -0.11% Last scan 24 May
Two-Layer Verdict
Structural
BUY · structural picks-and-shovel position in the AI / Physical AI supply chain.
Tactical
HOLD.
Hold core position. Re-add at 34/50 EMA on any meaningful pullback.
Live price
$377.57
-0.11%
Theme
AI Semis
Layer 5
Conviction
MEDIUM
Tier C
RSI 14
59.7
% return
Not held
2×ATR stop
Tactical stop
52-WEEK RANGE -6.8% from high
$75.63
$404.94
Fwd P/E46.6
Trail P/E178.9
EV/EBITDA57.2
Mkt Cap$73.87B
Beta2.05
★ Deep dive · AI Master Research · Tier C

The full 1-page snapshot on Coherent Corp..

What it physically does · the financial print · customer mix · competitive context · terminal risk · bull case · gap/bear case · optionality · the trade. ~535 words. Source: AI Master Research.

535 words Tier C AI Master Research
— Live chart · TradingView · Candlestick · 50/200 EMA + Volume —
● Live · NYSE:COHR
03 · 04Top-level analysis

What COHR physically does — preview.

One-paragraph version of the Photoncap deep dive. Read the full essay for the complete treatment.

From AI Master Research

The thesis — preview.

Optical components and laser systems supplier — Coherent (post the II-VI / Coherent merger) is the diversified optical platform that captures the AI datacom ramp through 800G/1.6T transceivers, indium-phosphide lasers, and the SiC/photonic-IC layer. Q3 FY26 (May 6) was a revenue beat with a modest EPS miss — the kind of "good but not perfect" print that gets a +400% one-year stock to consolidate, not crash. Tier B because the rerating has been violent (+400% TTM) and the EPS miss tells you the operating leverage is not yet bulletproof; needs one more clean print before earning Tier A. Coherent sits across multiple Layer 4 bottlenecks: **datacom transceivers** (the optical modules that connect every GPU to every switch), **indium-phosphide laser diodes** (the source for high-speed datacom), **silicon carbide power semis** (the EV / power-electronics business — separately monetisable), **industrial lasers and optical instruments** (the legacy II-VI book, cyclical but high-margin). The AI mix has grown materially over the last six quarters as the datacom transceiver revenue scaled into 800G — Coherent now derives an estimated 30-40% of revenue from AI / datacom optical, with the rest …

Read the full essay →
★ Tier
Tier C. Watch only.
Source attribution
AI Master Research · 535 words. Institutional PDF available.

Peers in Layer 5

8 names
Latest news
No recent news for COHR in AI Semis
No tagged news items yet. RSS + Substack pipeline runs every 30 min — check back, or browse the Daily Brief for the latest macro.